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Friday, July 10, 2009

The Emperor's New Stimulus

The government hasn’t be able to spend $500 billion fast enough to stimulate the economy, so the only thing to do is . . . give the government even more money. . . .

The first “stimulus” package under Obama was no such thing. As has been noted many times, any money the government spends must be acquired from somewhere in the economy first through borrowing or taxation. While moving money around may stimulate a given activity, it comes at the price of the other activities to which that money would have been directed. And since bureaucrats, not entrepreneurs, direct the “stimulus” projects, this redirection of scarce capital is detrimental to consumer welfare. If the projects served consumers and thus were profitable, they would have been undertaken privately and more efficiently than bureaucracies could have accomplished them.

The money in the earlier bill was supposed to be used for what we were assured were “shovel-ready projects.” But the truth seems to be that precious few were shovel-ready. They won’t get started for a year or more. . . .

When the bill passed in February, the unemployment rate was 8.1 percent, Today it is 9.5 and rising. That doesn’t seem terribly stimulating. . . .

Outside advocates of stimulus, such as Paul Krugman, will say the unabated rise in unemployment only proves what they said all along: The spending package was too small. But that is not a satisfying rebuttal. First, as noted, if government agencies can’t disburse a half-trillion quickly enough to jolt the economy, logic compels us to conclude that they can’t disburse a trillion. . . .

Second, economic theory refutes the Krugmanian claim. Since government can spend only what it has first taken from someone else (by borrowing or taxation), the spending can’t create jobs on net. So even if the government-created jobs were real jobs — in the sense that they ultimately contributed to consumer well-being according to consumers’ own priorities — they were created at the cost of other productive jobs that would have been created in the absence of government intervention. Resources are scarce; government spending displaces private economic activity. There is no way around that.

If the Stimulus I was a bad idea, Stimulus II is even worse.
--from "Son of 'Stimulus' / They Can't Spend a Half-Trillion, So They Should Get a Trillion More?" by Sheldon Richman

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